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Terra LUNA UST Collapse The Inside Story

Terra LUNA UST Collapse The Inside Story

Terra LUNA UST Collapse The Inside Story

What Really Caused The Crash

Guy of Coin Bureau does a very professional job of explaining the history of the Terra Luna UST development, and what was behind the crash.

TERRA LUNA UST COLLAPSE
Terra LUNA UST Collapse The Inside Story

#Terra #LUNA #UST

Terra, LUNA & UST Collapse: What Happened? Inside Story!!

211,991 viewsMay 19, 2022

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πŸ’Έ $30k Giveaway! πŸ‘‰ https://t.me/cbinsider/1919 πŸ“² Insider Info in my Socials πŸ‘‰ https://guy.coinbureau.com/socials/ πŸ‘• My Merch Store πŸ‘‰https://store.coinbureau.com πŸ”₯ TOP Crypto TIPS In My Newsletter πŸ‘‰ https://guy.coinbureau.com/signup/ ~~~~~ πŸ“ΊEssential VideosπŸ“Ί Do Kwon Explained BTC Backing πŸ‘‰ https://youtu.be/RrrmpfedSTE Alex Mashinsky Interview About UST πŸ‘‰ https://youtu.be/m6WN6i1HAxw Coin Bureau Conference Full Stream πŸ‘‰ https://youtu.be/_8AZKJ__XrE Anchor Protocol Explained πŸ‘‰ https://youtu.be/z54a-6hAogM Coin Bureau Portfolio πŸ‘‰ https://youtu.be/KhY1Hl-D3jI Previous Terra Video πŸ‘‰ https://youtu.be/NiYUEBNvPPk ~~~~~ ⛓️ πŸ”— Useful Links πŸ”— ⛓️ β–Ί LFG Reserves: https://datastudio.google.com/u/0/rep… β–Ί Jump Crypto BTC UST Proposal: https://agora.terra.money/t/bitcoin-r… β–Ί Elliptic Tracking LFG Bitcoin Wallet: https://www.elliptic.co/blog/what-hap… β–Ί Glassnode Tracking LFG Bitcoin Wallet, Terra Fallout: https://insights.glassnode.com/the-we… β–Ί Terra Fork Proposal Details: https://agora.terra.money/t/terra-eco… β–Ί Terra Fork Proposal Vote: https://station.terra.money/proposal/… ~~~~~ – TIMESTAMPS – 0:00 Intro 1:33 What is Terra? 4:30 How Does Terra Work? 7:22 Seigniorage 10:35 Anchor Protocol 15:12 Luna Foundation Guard 18:54 Backing UST With BTC 22:50 Timeline Of Terra’s Crash 28:20 Who Crashed Terra? 32:23 Terra’s Future 36:10 Outro ~~~~~ πŸ“œ Disclaimer πŸ“œ The information contained herein is for informational purposes only. Nothing herein shall be construed to be financial legal or tax advice. The content of this video is solely the opinions of the speaker who is not a licensed financial advisor or registered investment advisor. Trading cryptocurrencies poses considerable risk of loss. The speaker does not guarantee any particular outcome. #Terra #LUNA #UST #Stablecoin #DoKwon #Anchor Protocol

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FULL VIDEO TRANSCRIPT

0:01

last week we saw what was once believed to be one of the most promising crypto projects collapse resulting in tens of

0:08

billions of dollars of losses for individuals and institutions alike i am

0:14

of course talking about terror and as someone who held both luna and ust as

0:19

part of their portfolio i wanted to wait until more facts came out before commenting on what the hell happened

0:26

today i’m going to examine exactly what happened to terra tell you who could have been behind its crash and what

0:33

comes next for this controversial crypto project

0:39

[Music]

0:44

before i flog a dead horse there are some terms and conditions i must enforce nothing in this video is financial

0:51

advice and doing your own research is the only thing i endorse you can use this video as part of your research of

0:58

course but for all the rest a licensed financial advisor is your best recourse

1:04

now whether you be a friend or foe i’d like to welcome you all to the coin bureau my name is guy if you didn’t

1:10

already know and i make high quality content about crypto coins tokens news reviews and other

1:16

topics that will turn you into a crypto pro if you want to go with my flow subscribe

1:22

to the channel and ping that notification bell down below okay that’s it for the intro it’s time to find out

1:29

what really caused terror to implode let’s take it from the top so that we’re

1:35

all on the same page terra was and i suppose technically still is a crypto project founded in

1:42

early 2018 by ivy league educated economist daniel shin an ivy league

1:47

educated computer scientist doe quan terra was built by terraform labs or tfl

1:54

a south korean software company which was incubated by the terror alliance a group of 15 asian e-commerce giants

2:02

note that terraform labs is based in singapore do kwan has served as the ceo of

2:08

terraform labs since its inception and daniel shin left terraform labs in early

2:14

2020 to become the ceo of the chai corporation a payments app that

2:19

leverages terror terra’s development is coordinated by the luna foundation guard or lfg a

2:26

singaporean non-profit that was incorporated in january this year note that all these details will be

2:33

relevant later so listen close the luna foundation guards governing council consists of seven individuals

2:40

including do kwan as well as representatives from prominent crypto vcs like jump crypto and delphi digital

2:48

and even finance labs now terra raised roughly 47 million

2:53

dollars across three icos in 2018 and has since raised tens of millions more from prominent crypto vcs namely galaxy

3:01

digital which invested 25 million dollars in terra in early 2021.

3:06

terra’s main net went live in april 2019 and its blockchain was built using the cosmos sdk

3:13

this means tera can process thousands of transactions per second while remaining secure though it is quite centralized

3:20

with just 130 validators note that terror’s validators are also

3:25

the price oracles for terror now terra is or rather was an ecosystem

3:30

of decentralized stable coins and its purpose was to power the next generation of payments with its various

3:36

decentralized digital currencies and the various decentralized applications that were being built on the terra blockchain

3:44

luna is terra’s native cryptocurrency coin and it’s used for staking on the terra blockchain to pay for transaction

3:51

fees on the terra blockchain and to table and vote on governance proposals for the terror blockchain

3:57

luna is also used to ensure tera’s various decentralized stablecoins remain pegged to their respective fiat

4:04

currencies now it does this using a novel mint and burn mechanism plus free market

4:10

arbitrage ust was or rather is terra’s largest decentralized stablecoin and it is or

4:17

rather was pegged to the us dollar like everyone else i’ll use ust to

4:23

explain exactly how terra’s mint and burn mechanism works don’t worry i’ll keep it super simple

4:30

on terra one dollars worth of luna can always be burned to mint one ust and one

4:37

ust can always be burned to mint one dollars worth of luna now suppose ust is trading at 1.50 or 50

4:46

percent above its one dollar peg if you hold luna you could burn one

4:52

dollars worth of luna to mint one and a half ust and then sell that newly minted

4:58

ust for say another stable coin the result is an instant 50 profit and

5:04

the increase in ust supply combined with the cell pressure from you and other

5:09

lunar holders who are minting and selling ust eventually brings ust back

5:14

down to its one dollar peg obviously the prospect of these instant profits creates buying pressure for luna

5:22

as well logically the same process applies in the other direction for example if ust

5:28

is trading at just 50 cents or 50 percent below its peg as a ust holder

5:34

you could burn one ust and essentially mint twice the dollar amount in luna and

5:39

make a 2x profit assuming you immediately sell that luna for something else

5:44

this reduction in usd’s supply combined with the buying pressure for ust from

5:49

traders who want to make a quick profit eventually brings ust’s peg back up to

5:55

one dollar now this is why ust is referred to as an algorithmic stablecoin and though this

6:01

process of maintaining a peg sounds robust on paper in practice a de-pegging

6:06

of ust to the downside runs the risk of something called a death spiral

6:12

as i just mentioned when ust drops below its peg there’s a huge incentive for traders to come in and buy that ust burn

6:19

it to mint luna and sell that luna for an instant profit i’ll repeat that in order to realize this profit that newly

6:27

minted luna must be immediately sold now when the crypto market is on the

6:33

rise this process isn’t necessarily a problem because there’s lots of speculative demand for luna and that

6:39

means any selling by ust arbitrage traders is unlikely to affect its price

6:44

if at all when the crypto market is on the decline however this process does become a

6:51

problem because there’s not much speculative demand for luna and that means its price is going down while it’s

6:58

being aggressively sold by ust holders this makes its price fall even further

7:04

and causes panic among ust holders and this is the short explanation of what

7:09

happened to terror as you will soon see however there were a lot more moving

7:14

parts beneath the surface and the first part we need to examine is something called seniorage

7:22

on terra minting ust by burning luna costs a small fee in luna called

7:29

for a long time seniority fees went to terra’s community treasury

7:35

after a while the size of terrace community treasury had grown so large that the terror community voted to burn

7:42

all seniority fees as part of the columbus 5 upgrade last september

7:47

the terror community subsequently voted to convert the 89 million luna in the treasury to mint around 4.5 billion ust

7:56

in november so yes it was large to say the least in the months that followed the terror

8:02

community approved various proposals to bridge ust to just about every major smart contract cryptocurrency as part of

8:09

the project’s mission to make ust the most accessible stable coin in the crypto markets

8:15

when ust bridged to other blockchains some kind of liquidity mining rewards were almost always involved

8:22

put differently anyone who used ust in d5 protocols on other cryptocurrency

8:27

blockchains would earn additional cryptocurrency be it luna ust or some

8:33

other coin or token naturally these additional rewards created a lot of demand for ust

8:40

this increased demand for ust would push it ever so slightly above its one dollar peg and ust being above its peg would

8:48

incentivize market participants to buy and burn luna to mint ust for a small profit this not only caused ust’s market

8:56

cap to increase exponentially but it also caused luna’s price to increase

9:01

exponentially that’s because of basic economics luna’s supply was gradually being reduced as

9:08

people burned luna to mint ust for a small profit with demand for luna simultaneously

9:14

increasing while the number of lunar in circulation fell this caused its price to rise rapidly

9:21

this dynamic is why some claim that terror is a ponzi but if we’re being honest a similar dynamic exists with

9:28

just about every other asset on the planet for that matter heck even stocks only continue to rise because of

9:35

increasing demand over time i digress at its peak in early april luna hit a

9:42

high of 120 dollars and tera surpassed solana to become the sixth largest cryptocurrency by market cap

9:49

meanwhile ust’s market cap and circulating supply was just shy of 19 billion making it the third largest

9:56

stablecoin after tethers usdt and circles usdc

10:01

ust was also listed on all of the most reputable crypto exchanges including

10:06

coinbase binance ftx and kucoin with many crypto and ust trading pairs so not

10:13

just with other stable coins although lots of demand for ust was coming from all of the d5 protocols

10:20

offering liquidity rewards the overwhelming majority of demand for ust was coming from a single d5 protocol on

10:26

the terra blockchain called the anchor protocol which held almost 80 percent of all the ust in circulation

10:33

this brings me to the second moving part beneath the surface which is of course anchor protocol

10:39

as many of you will know anchor protocol was famous for offering a stable interest rate of 20 percent per year on

10:46

ust this suspiciously high rate led many people to accuse anchor protocol of

10:52

being a ponzi but this also doesn’t seem to be the case when you consider how

10:57

exactly anchor protocol works and i’ll use a simple analogy to explain

11:03

imagine there’s a bank that’s offering a five percent annual interest rate on savings the good old days if you will

11:10

now let’s say some rich bloke comes along and deposits 100 billion dollars

11:15

into this bank quick maths tells you that this rich fellow will rake in five billion dollars

11:20

per year from his massive cash pile now let’s say that some poor bloke comes

11:25

along and deposits 100 into the same bank quick maths tells you that this poor fellow will make just five dollars

11:32

per year from his tiny cash pile but the bank has a special deal for him

11:38

for a limited time we will give you an annual interest rate of 20

11:43

how is the bank going to give this poor bloke this interest rate you ask easy just take 20 from the 5 billion of

11:51

interest coming from the rich blokes massive cash pile and add it to the poor bloke’s tiny cash pile billy big bags

11:58

won’t even notice now jokes aside because the interest being earned by the rich blokes cash

12:04

pile is so massive the bank can afford to give a 20 interest rate to literally

12:10

thousands if not hundreds of thousands of poor blokes and potentially secure thousands if not hundreds of thousands

12:16

of new customers there’s only one thing the bank must do and that’s to convince the rich bloke to

12:23

let it redirect the five billion dollars of annual interest on his massive cash pile to all the small cash piles of the

12:30

poor blokes how is the bank going to convince the rich bloke to give up his annual

12:36

interest you may ask easy just offer him shares in the bank itself

12:41

that will give him control of how the bank operates and promise to use a portion of all the interest being

12:47

generated by the bank to purchase more shares so their prices stay high

12:52

now believe it or not but this is almost exactly how anchor protocol works or rather worked on anchor protocol the

13:00

rich folk would deposit large amounts of staked luna from terror staked atom from

13:05

cosmos staked soul from solana staked avax from avalanche and even staked eth

13:10

from ethereum the annual staking rewards for these proof-of-stake cryptocurrencies was or

13:16

rather is 5 or more all these staking rewards from the rich folks would get

13:23

converted into ust by the anchor protocol and then this ust would be given to the poor folks who were

13:29

depositing ust to earn 20 per year if the staking rewards being earned by

13:35

all proof-of-stake cryptocurrencies provided by the rich folks exceeded the amount needed to provide poor folks with

13:41

a 20 yield on ust these additional staking rewards would again be converted

13:47

into ust and deposited into the anchor protocol’s yield reserves which would be

13:52

used to keep paying the poor folks when there aren’t enough rich folks around

13:57

in return for providing proof of stake cryptocurrencies the rich folks would get anchor protocols anc token which is

14:04

used for governance and a portion of anchor protocol’s yield reserves would be used to buy anc to ensure that its

14:11

price increased along with the popularity of the protocol as with terror itself anchor protocol worked

14:19

much better on paper than it did in practice because in practice there are many more poor folks than there are rich

14:26

folks in other words the staking rewards coming from the proof-of-stake cryptocurrencies provided by the rich

14:32

folks was not nearly enough to continue paying a 20 interest rate on ust for all

14:38

the poor folks and as a result the yield reserves were being drained rather than

14:43

filled now to be fair this is something that the anchor protocol team and community

14:49

were aware of and it’s why they were in the process of reducing the protocol’s 20 interest rate to something more

14:56

sustainable in the interim anchor protocol’s yield reserves were being replenished with ust

15:02

coming from the entities behind terror and this ties into the third moving part

15:07

beneath the surface the lunar foundation guard as i mentioned earlier the luna

15:13

foundation guard or lfg is the singaporean non-profit that coordinates terra’s development however the lfg

15:20

plays another more important role and that’s to ensure ust’s peg remains stable at all costs as many of you will

15:28

know the lfg is famous for buying up billions of dollars of btc which was

15:33

going to be used to protect ust’s peg what many of you might not know is the

15:39

back story to how this btc treasury came to be prior to the events of last week ust

15:45

held its peg quite well save for three occasions the first was at the end of december

15:51

2020 when ust fell sharply below its peg for about a day now i actually couldn’t find the exact

15:58

cause of this but if you know please drop a comment below anyways the second time ust lost its peg

16:05

was during the crypto crash last may when ust fell significantly below its peg for more than a week

16:11

in an interview from last october terra co-founder do kwan explained that it was last may’s crash that really made the

16:18

terror team start to think about how they could protect ust’s peg and they settled on btc as the ideal backing for

16:26

ust during times of volatility however it was ust’s third major

16:32

de-pegging event that really kicked the terror team in the keister and that was when ust fell slightly below its peg in

16:39

january now this d-pegging was reportedly caused by a d5 protocol called abracadabra

16:46

which makes it possible to mint another decentralized stablecoin called magic internet money or mim using

16:52

interest-bearing tokens as collateral as you might have guessed ust was one of

16:57

the tokens that could be deposited into abracadabra to mint mim specifically a

17:03

ust which is an interest bearing token given to ust holders as a sort of receipt for their ust when they deposit

17:11

said ust into the anchor protocol on abracadabra some d5 degens came up

17:18

with a clever strategy called the degen box which is where you deposit aust into

17:23

abracadabra to mint mim then use the mim to buy ust

17:28

deposit ust into anchor protocol to get more aust deposit that aust into

17:34

abracadabra and so on until you have lots of yield now it doesn’t take a d5 expert to

17:41

realize that this defy strategy is extremely risky because if mim or aust

17:46

deviates from its peg by even just a couple of percentage points the entire scheme could collapse very quickly and

17:53

in terra’s case this had the potential to do serious damage to ust and

17:58

luna as it so happens it was discovered that one of the people working closely with the developer behind abracadabra

18:05

was the co-founder of quadriga cx the infamous canadian cryptocurrency exchange which collapsed after its other

18:12

co-founder died while on holiday in india or so the story goes

18:17

this shocking revelation spooked holders of the coins and tokens associated with abracadabra and this is ultimately what

18:24

caused ust to fall slightly below its one dollar peg realizing the exponential risks

18:31

associated with having ust on so many chains and in so many d5 protocols the

18:37

recently incorporated lfg moved forward with the plan to use btc to protect

18:43

ust’s peg this relates to the fourth moving part beneath the surface the lfg’s btc

18:51

accumulation about a month after the lfg was established it started raising the

18:57

capital required to purchase boatloads of btc starting with a one billion

19:02

dollar raise from prominent crypto vcs including jump crypto and three arrows capital which was financed through

19:09

over-the-counter sales of lfg’s lunar holdings the plan was straightforward buy up

19:15

enough btc to back 20 percent of ust’s circulating supply and then use tera’s

19:21

aforementioned senior ridge fees to automatically purchase additional btc every time someone burns luna to mint

19:28

ust recall that seniority fees are currently burned

19:33

now given ust’s circulating supply at the time backing 20 of it with btc would

19:39

require just over 3 billion worth of btc with only 1 billion raised and much of

19:46

it spent the lfg needed some additional capital to continue its btc accumulation

19:52

in early march terra co-founder do kwan announced that terraform labs had gifted

19:58

1.2 billion dollars worth of luna to the lfg which would be converting it to ust

20:04

and using said ust to continue buying btc a few days later doe also announced that

20:11

terra was aiming to accumulate 10 billion of btc to protect ust’s peg with

20:17

3 billion being accumulated by the lfg and the remaining seven billion being accumulated over time via seniority fees

20:25

shortly after that jump crypto posted a plan for how exactly btc could be used to protect ust’s peg to terra’s

20:33

governance forum and the short explanation is that the lfg would deposit all its btc into a non-custodial

20:40

reserve pool where anyone could redeem ust for btc the same way they do with

20:45

luna the assumption there is that if ust were to drop significantly below its peg

20:51

rational market participants would opt to swap their one ust for one dollars worth of btc rather than one dollars

20:59

worth of luna this would take the cell pressure off luna and prevent the death spiral

21:04

scenario i was talking about earlier jump crypto’s plan was actually extremely detailed i’ll leave it in the

21:10

description if you’re interested anyhow in early april binance added

21:16

support for the anchor protocol making it possible for its 30 million users to earn high stable yields on ust

21:23

note that i’m just mentioning this to underscore just how integrated terra was with the entire crypto ecosystem

21:31

terraform labs and the luna foundation guard also purchased 200 million dollars worth of avalanches avacs as part of an

21:39

ongoing plan to add other cryptocurrencies to terror’s stability reserves for ust

21:45

dokwan had earlier mentioned that their plan was to eventually start accumulating the cryptocurrencies that

21:51

belong to the smart contract blockchains ust is available on again this will all be relevant in just

21:58

a moment in mid-april terraform labs gifted yet another 900 million dollars worth of

22:04

luna to the lfg to sell for more btc all the while the lfg was giving

22:10

frequent updates about its btc buys which would happen in waves of around 100 million dollars at a time

22:17

the lfg also made all its crypto wallet addresses public for everyone to see the accumulation in real time

22:24

the lfg achieved its target of backing 20 of usd circulating supply on thursday

22:30

may the 5th with a 1.5 billion btc buy financed through the sale of luna to

22:36

three arrows capital and genesis global trading a crypto otc broker and subsidiary of digital currency group

22:44

and then everything went to s-h-i-t

22:49

terra’s implosion arguably began on saturday the 7th of may and i’ll quickly note that the following order of events

22:56

has been confirmed to one of the researchers here at the coin bureau by a high profile member of the terror

23:02

community who shall not be named i’ll also highlight events where speculation is involved

23:10

on saturday night the terror team withdrew a massive amount of ust from a

23:15

trading pool on curve finance for context curve finance is a decentralized exchange for stable coins

23:22

and the terror team withdrew all that ust in preparation for something called

23:27

the four pool which i won’t get into here all you need to know is that the moment the terror team withdrew this ust

23:35

an unknown whale sold around 85 million ust for 85 million usdc on curve finance

23:42

and this pushed ust slightly below its peg there is speculation that another 200

23:50

million dollars of ust was simultaneously sold on binance and though lots of well-respected folks in

23:57

the crypto space swear that this happened it cannot be confirmed

24:03

regardless of where the cell pressure was coming from it was enough to push ust slightly below its peg

24:10

now because the crypto market had already been crashing in the days prior risk-averse individuals and institutions

24:17

with exposure to ust immediately started selling out of safety concerns and this

24:22

isn’t speculation in a recent interview with digital asset news celsius ceo alex mizinski said they

24:30

pulled all their and their users assets out of the anchor protocol as soon as

24:35

ust fell slightly below its peg and this was almost certainly the case with similar crypto apps that had exposure to

24:42

ust and the anchor protocol as you can see around 9 billion of the

24:48

14 billion ust on anchor protocol was withdrawn within the first 48 hours of

24:53

ust falling slightly below its peg this mass exodus from the anchor

24:59

protocol created intense cell pressure for ust as everyone exchanged it for

25:04

other stablecoins and this pushed ust significantly below its peg

25:10

when that happened various market participants started burning ust to mint luna for a quick profit which of course

25:16

requires selling luna right away to realize especially since luna’s price

25:22

had already been crashing along with the rest of the crypto market this cell pressure on luna as well as

25:28

the sudden increase in its circulating supply crashed its price even further and the moment luna’s market cap fell

25:35

below ust’s market cap luna officially entered the death spiral with more luna

25:41

being minted while its price was reduced to ashes this is simply because ust is

25:47

fundamentally a representation of the potential cell pressure on luna and it

25:52

appears that many lunar and ust holders took this realization to heart if ust’s

25:58

market cap is larger than lunars then it can’t absorb the cell pressure from ust

26:03

and that means it’s going to zero with luna’s price in freefall the

26:09

integrity of the terror blockchain itself was under threat as an attacker could manipulate the governance

26:14

proposals that people were trying to pass to stop the bleeding a low lunar price also made it easy for

26:21

a malicious actor to become a validator and manipulate transactions left with no other option tera’s

26:28

validators agreed to halt the chain for a while to try and buy some time upon restarting the chain the chaos

26:34

continued so terra’s validators halted the chain again before restarting it for a second time but with terra’s mint and

26:42

burn mechanism for stable coins disabled all the while terra’s luna foundation

26:47

guard was aggressively selling btc on the spot market with the help of multiple market makers on multiple

26:54

exchanges and the lfg revealed in a recent twitter thread that it had basically emptied the clip it spent over

27:00

80 000 btc to try and restore ust’s peg

27:05

on-chain analysis done by glass node and elliptic seems to confirm the lfg’s

27:11

claims and you can find both of those reports in the description now there is speculation that the same

27:17

entity that dumped ust on curve finance and supposedly on binance also opened a

27:23

short position on btc knowing that the lfg would be dumping its btc on the open

27:28

market thereby crashing btc’s price there are again many prominent crypto

27:34

personalities who insist that this is what happened and some have even gone as far as to say that the attacker even

27:41

used the profits from shorting btc to continue attacking terror through its mint and burn mechanism now

27:48

unfortunately none of this can be confirmed by friday the 13th of may both luna and

27:55

ust had flatlined dealing a 40 billion blow to luna and ust holders and tens of

28:02

billions of more dollars in damage to the individuals institutions d5 protocols and smart contract

28:07

cryptocurrencies that had exposure to terror’s ecosystem which was almost all

28:13

of them and yes one of those individuals was me

28:19

so who is to blame for tara’s collapse well i’ll start by saying that nobody

28:24

currently knows who’s behind it all and maybe we’ll never know all we have right now is speculation

28:30

based on what are likely just coincidences but all signs seem to point

28:36

to wall street and here’s why almost every single individual and institution in cryptocurrency had

28:42

exposure to terror in some way shape or form vcs were heavily and i mean heavily

28:48

invested in this project and they genuinely believed in its potential like

28:53

so many of us did and some still do as a quick side note i remember at the coin

28:59

bureau conference a couple of weeks ago we asked the crowd how many people were using anchor protocol and almost

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everyone raised their hand literally hundreds of people it’s just one of many examples of how

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widespread the adoption of terror really was if you accept this premise the only

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place this potential perpetrator could have come from is traditional finance because i don’t imagine anyone involved

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in crypto would shoot themselves much less their crypto partners and clients in the foot by killing terror just to

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make a few billion bucks i also don’t imagine anyone involved in crypto would want to draw the attention

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of regulators by destroying a decentralized stablecoin as far as i know the only people who want aggressive

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crypto regulation work in or work closely with entities in traditional

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finance this is where the coincidences come in and the first one is that the federal

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reserve mentioned the risks of stablecoin runs in its financial stability report which was released on

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the monday after terror began collapsing if you ask me this really was just a

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coincidence the second coincidence is much harder to explain away however and that’s that

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treasury secretary janet yellen mentioned terra’s collapse in her testimony to u.s politicians on the

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wednesday now i find it hard to believe that word of tara’s d-pegging had reached her so

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quickly unless someone she knew was following terra’s dynamics closely but still probably just another coincidence

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the third coincidence is more like circumstantial evidence and that’s the fact that tethers usdt stablecoin also

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briefly fell below its peg and that this is something janet also mentioned in her testimony on the thursday

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this can be easily explained away by the fears that the regulatory crackdown on stable coins will likely affect tether

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as it operates outside of the united states and hasn’t exactly been all that transparent about the reserves backing

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usdt for what it’s worth tether has reportedly redeemed over 9 billion usdt

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over the last week or so with no issues interestingly the market cap of circles

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usdc increased by about 4 billion over the same period and busds by 2 billion a

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flight to safety i suppose the fourth coincidence is closer to concrete evidence and that’s the timing

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of this supposed attack the fact that someone knew exactly when the terror team would be pulling ust out

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of curve finance seems to be the strongest evidence that this was an attack from someone somewhere as this

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information was not publicly known the events that unfolded afterwards could have been nothing more than

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various market participants taking advantage of terra’s downfall be they from wall street or main street

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still there’s no denying that this dented the crypto industry and the legacy financial system especially the

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us dollar itself can and likely will do everything within its power to ensure

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that it’s not replaced by crypto or anything else consider for a moment that terror was

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building a decentralized stable coin backed by digital gold that might just

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be the greatest middle finger to the financial system anyone can raise

32:21

now to wrap things up i want to talk a bit about terra’s future which is currently uncertain the latest news is

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that terra is probably going to fork with the old terror chain being known as terra classic and the new terror chain

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retaining the original name but with no algorithmic stable coins terra co-founder do kwan is behind this

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recovery plan and he noted on twitter that a snapshot of terra’s current blockchain will be taken next friday the

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27th of may and those with luna and ust in their wallet at that time will

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receive a portion of luna’s new supply if i understand correctly the initial

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supply of new luna will be the same as the initial supply of old luna which is 1 billion and it will be distributed as

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follows 25 to the community pool 35 to holders of luna prior to terrace

33:12

collapse 10 to the holders of aust prior to terrorist collapse and you’ll recall

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aust is the token receipt you get when you deposit ust into the anchor protocol

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10 to holders of luna after terra’s collapse and 20 to ust holders after terra’s

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collapse i’ll leave a link to the details in the description that describe the exact vesting schedule and all of that fun

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stuff dokwan’s terrafork proposal is currently being voted on and so far it looks like

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it’s likely to pass even if it doesn’t pass a terror fork of some kind is the most likely outcome and

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that’s for one simple reason exit liquidity as you can imagine everyone who was close to terror when it exploded

33:55

is desperate to get their money back and forking terra’s blockchain is probably their best bet to that end even if it’s

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not ideal by any stretch not only that but our source in the terra community told us that most of the

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projects building on terror were actually staking their treasuries on the anchor protocol to get more money for

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development this means that most of terra’s projects are unlikely to go anywhere for the time

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being simply because they are waiting in line to get their scraps from the new terra blockchain too

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if you’re wondering why most of terra’s projects don’t start building on other blockchains in the interim the answer is

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apparently juan himself doe was famous for being bombastic to put it mildly he frequently ragged on

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other crypto projects he saw as competitors and routinely shot down terrorist critics even when they clearly

34:45

had a point while doe’s powerful personality made terror a powerful project it also made

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him many enemies and it’s even possible that one of them was behind the attack on terror’s curve finance migration

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moreover the consensus in the terror community seems to be that dokwan’s godlike position in the project’s

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ecosystem clouded his judgment on more than one occasion and there’s certainly a discussion to be had there

35:10

never mind that whole thing about his involvement in basis cash the bigger problem is doe’s continued

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affiliation with terror specifically his involvement in the creation of terror’s new blockchain and the fact that it’s

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guaranteed to alienate vcs angel investors and rational retail investors

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who aren’t fans of dough and that list seems to be growing by the day

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the real tragedy is that it looks like terrors developers projects and communities will have to keep following

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his footsteps regardless of where they lead because it’s the only hope they really have at getting some of their

35:46

money back if and when they do i suspect that the cosmos ecosystem will see an explosion

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in growth and development because at the end of the day there’s no denying that terror had some of the best developers

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and easily one of the best communities in crypto and they will succeed where

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terror failed and that’s all for today’s video about what happened to terror if you feel

36:12

others need to see it take a second to share it if you enjoyed it take a second to like it if you want to make sure you

36:18

don’t miss the next one take two seconds to subscribe and ping that notification bell

36:23

in the meantime you can check out coin bureau eclipse for more from me or tune into the coin bureau podcast to hear

36:29

myself and mad mike go down the rabbit hole of crypto i’m also available on twitter tiktok and

36:35

instagram and keep you up to speed with the crypto market on telegram if you’re wondering what cryptos i

36:41

currently hold as part of my portfolio simply subscribe to my weekly newsletter

36:46

also note that there’s about two weeks left for you to try your luck at that one whole bitcoin giveaway we have going

36:52

on you can find all the details about that using the link in the description

36:57

my friends thank you all so much for your time this has all been exhausting hasn’t it don’t

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worry it will get better crypto will recover and we’ll all be there when the sunshine returns

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[Music]

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